Monday, 7 March 2011

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US wheat leads corn, soybeans sharply lower

  • Monday, 7 March 2011
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  • * Forecast for rain in U.S. Plains pressures wheat prices
     * Corn, soy follow drop in wheat as crude comes off highs
     * Export inspections disappoint; demand for wheat dries up
     * Coming Up: Will benchmark wheat contract break below $8?
     By Mark Weinraub
     CHICAGO, March 7 (Reuters) - U.S. grain futures tumbled on
    Monday as investors worried that surging oil prices may dent
    demand, while forecasts for rain in drought-hit areas of the
    southern Plains put additional pressure on wheat, which slid
    3.5 percent.
     Wheat fell the most in about two weeks. Corn was down for
    the second straight session, while soy fell for the fist time
    in five sessions.
     Speculators, loaded with long positions in grains, were
    still trimming these positions as crude oil prices retreated
    from 2-1/2 year highs, traders said.
     "The markets are very nervous," said Greg Grow, director of
    agribusiness for Archer Financial Services in Chicago. "It does
    not take much. I think people are just very spooked right now
    because of the events in the Middle East and trying to discern
    what the implications are."
     The U.S. Agriculture Department reported wheat export
    inspections of 21.44 million bushels on Monday, near the low
    end of forecasts, which the trade viewed as evidence that
    export demand for U.S. supplies would slow after a surge in
    February.
     "End-users are well covered and I think the story that
    China has plenty of wheat stockpiled had something to do with
    it," said Paul Haugens said, vice-president for Newedge USA.
     At 10:50 a.m. CST (1650 GMT), the benchmark CBOT May soft
    red winter wheat contract WK1 was down 29 cents at $8.03-1/4
    a bushel. CBOT May corn CK1 was down 14-1/2 cents at
    $7.13-1/2 a bushel and CBOT May soybeans SK1 were down 25-1/2
    cents at $13.88-1/2 a bushel.
     China said over the weekend that it is holding 100 million
    tonnes of wheat stocks, around the same amount as its annual
    output, reiterating Beijing's resolve to keep grain prices in
    check.
     Unrest in the Middle East had boosted world demand for
    wheat during February but traders said the political upheaval,
    could start to weigh on the world economic recovery.
     Troops loyal to Muammar Gaddafi launched counter-offensives
    against rebel-held towns on Sunday, increasing fears that Libya
    is heading for a civil war rather than the swift revolutions
    seen in Tunisia and Egypt.
     Dry conditions have plagued the U.S. Plains since the hard
    red winter wheat crop, which much of the world was counting on
    to ease the tight supply situation, was planted last fall.
     "Some beneficial precipitation is expected for wheat over
    northern Kansas, northeast Colorado and southwest Nebraska on
    Tuesday," said Mike Palmerino, agricultural meteorologist with
    Telvent DTN.
    Prices at 11:00 a.m. CST (1700 GMT)
                              LAST      NET    PCT     YTD
                                        CHG    CHG     CHG
    CBOT corn Cc1 707.00 -14.25 -2.0% 12.4%
    CBOT soy Sc1 1381.25 -26.50 -1.9% -0.9%
    CBOT meal SMc1 357.50 -6.30 -1.7% -3.5%
    CBOT soyoil BOc1 58.23 -0.73 -1.2% 0.8%
    CBOT wheat Wc1 773.50 -27.00 -3.4% -2.6%
    CBOT rice RRc1 .00 0.00 0.0% -100.0%
    EU wheat BL2H1 250.00 -3.00 -1.2% -1.0%
    US crude CLc1 105.30 0.86 0.8% 15.2%
    Dow Jones .DJI 12,090 -80 -0.7% 4.4%
    Gold XAU= 1430.94 -1.01 -0.1% 0.8%
    Euro/dollar EUR= 1.3976 -0.0019 -0.1% 4.7%
    Dollar Index .DXY 76.4510 0.0510 0.1% -3.3%
    Baltic Freight .BADI 1382 36 2.7% -22.1%
    * Front-month contracts. CBOT contracts in U.S. cents per
    bushel except soymeal in dollars per ton, soyoil in cents per
    lb and rice in cents per hundredweight. Paris wheat in euros
    per tonne and London wheat in pounds per tonne.
    (Source: http://af.reuters.com/article/commoditiesNews/idAFNL3E7E704F20110307)

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